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Inference from sample statistics and margin of error SAT question

Math · Problem-Solving and Data Analysis · Medium · Answer it here, explanation included.

From a population of people, were chosen at random and surveyed about a proposed piece of legislation. Based on the survey, it is estimated that of people in the population support the legislation, with an associated margin of error of . Based on these results, which of the following is a plausible value for the total number of people in the population who support the proposed legislation?

ExplanationShow

Choice C is correct. It’s given that an estimated  of people in the population support the legislation, with an associated margin of error of . Subtracting and adding the margin of error from the estimate gives an interval of plausible values for the true percentage of people in the population who support the legislation. Therefore, it’s plausible that between  and  of people in this population support the legislation. The corresponding numbers of people represented by these percentages in the population can be calculated by multiplying the total population, , by and by , which gives and , respectively. It follows that any value in the interval to is a plausible value for the total number of people in the population who support the proposed legislation. Of the choices given, only is in this interval.

Choice A is incorrect. This is the number of people in the sample, rather than in the population, who support the legislation.

Choice B is incorrect. This is the number of people in the sample who do not support the legislation.

Choice D is incorrect. This is a plausible value for the total number of people in the population who do not support the proposed legislation.

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